As we know all media channel released their exit poll 2024 after the last voting day on 1 June 2024.Now the question arises,Is the exit poll shown by media official is true or false? For this let us look to some important aspects of exit polls and factor effecting it.
How Exit Poll Works:
Sanjay Kumar, Professor at the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), explains.I
n their purest form, elections are a celebration of democracy. There’s excitement for the date announcements, the start of the nomination process, and the start of the election campaign. The first and last days of voting also become significant occasions in a phased election like the one we’re now in. However, the announcement of the exit polls is the day that many Indians look forward to the most. Estimates of voter turnout are provided via exit polls. These are determined by conducting exit polls—interviews with voters immediately following their departure from polling places—as well as by performing further computations involving voter data.
A significant portion of Indians place equal weight on exit polls and real outcomes. Exit polls are typically released on the final day of voting since the Election Commission of India (ECI) requires the polling agencies to hold off until all stages of voting have concluded. This is to prevent swaying voters who haven’t cast a ballot. When exit polls are ultimately made public, pollsters frequently provide differing figures on that day. It’s interesting to see that exit poll results that are more in line with respondents’ political inclinations tend to pique people’s interest. Their methods are worth examining, but they show little interest in examining the vote share estimations that certain polls suggest.
Is Exit Poll are Accurate as Result:
Exit Poll 2024 are released on 2 June by all the media officials.These are the results on the basis of opinions of the people who votes on the voting dates.
Sometime the people are not comfortable to share the opinions on a particular party due to the safety reasons.And the another reason is that they do not trust blindly on any one on this very much controversial topic.But some how they are successful in calculating the average of which parties take commands on how many seats.
In recent lok sabha election it is observed that the exit poll result make a significant effect in getting the idea that which party is near to won the election.
On accuracy point of view exit polls are accurate enough to determine the successful rate of winning in most of the cases.
Exit Poll 2024 Results:
Exit poll 2024 are released by all the media official.Now the question arises is on which exit poll we trust.All the exit poll are nearly the same with very minor error.
According to Axis My India report they saidthat the are know for 94% accuracy which is a good number for a probability point of view.
Exit Poll 2024 Result by Axis My India:
State wise distribution of seats number on different state according to axis my india are as follows: